ATLAS

Prediction-market intelligence for sports.

ATLAS runs a statistical model on MLB games. When it finds a mispriced line, it publishes a pick before the game starts: the game, the side, the line, and the reason. Every result, win or loss, stays on the public record forever. NFL is priced daily and shows up in the evaluated field. It won’t publish until it has a graded record of its own, which isn’t the same thing as the season starting.

What this is

Not a tout. Not anonymous tips. ATLAS publishes its model's output publicly so you can verify the track record before spending a dollar. Every pick is timestamped. Every loss is visible.

Always open

The Record

Free
For anyone deciding whether to trust ATLAS

Every call ATLAS has ever made, timestamped before its event, with the losses shown exactly like the wins. Verify the record before you spend anything.

Read the record
The complete official record — every pick, result, and capital-weighted ROI
Every call timestamped before its event, and nothing ever deleted — withdrawn calls stay visible, marked VOID
Losses displayed identically to wins, with no tier that hides them
Current calibration status, including where the model scores worse than the market
Today's matchup and side, so you can watch a call land before you pay for one
For traders

Desk

$149/mo
For traders who want the inputs, not the conclusion

The whole evaluated field, rejects included — every candidate priced that day, with the model's probability beside the market's and the stated reason each one was refused. The unbiased sample, not the selected one.

Everything in The Record, plus every official call in full — game, side, line, the entry price it was frozen at, and the expected value behind it
The full evaluated field — every candidate ATLAS priced today, rejects included, with model probability beside market probability
Why each candidate was rejected, blocked, or withheld from the slate
The complete model breakdown and every assumption behind a projection
Every candidate exportable, so you can test ATLAS against your own numbers See the field →
What you get

Everything you need to follow the model.

Today's pick

Today's official calls, only when the model finds qualifying value: the game, the side, the line, and the price to enter. Most days that's one or two. The cap is five. No call means nothing cleared the bar.

The reasoning

See exactly why the model made the call: starters, weather, venue, team efficiency, and what would make it wrong.

Market evidence

Where the smart money is, how the line has moved, and whether the market is pricing the game correctly.

The permanent record

Every pick ever published, timestamped before the game with the result attached after. Wins and losses both visible. Nothing edited.

Integrity rules

The record is public. No hiding losses.

◆A pick only counts if it goes on record before the game starts.
◆No pick means the model found nothing worth playing — that's a feature, not a bug.
◆Every loss stays on the record next to every win.
◆Published size is locked at the time of the call. It can't be changed after the result.
◆ATLAS publishes picks. It doesn't execute trades or manage money.
How to start

Three steps.

1. Pick the plan that fits how you bet.

2. Subscribe — you’ll get an access link by email.

3. Log in and see today’s pick, the full reasoning, and the permanent record.

Get Desk access